Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum in São Paulo around 27–29 °C on August 6, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, regional high pressure and modest subsidence warming are supporting daytime peaks several degrees above the 23–25 °C August climatological average. Key variables separating the top outcomes include the timing and extent of any passing cloud cover or light showers, urban heat-island amplification in the city center versus official airport observations, and slight differences among numerical weather prediction runs. With resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading from Brazil’s national network, traders are closely tracking the latest model consensus and real-time station data through the afternoon heating period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEW
$20,314 Vol.
NEW
$20,314 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEW
$20,314 Vol.
NEW
$20,314 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$423 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,276 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,217 Vol.
3%
27°C
$6,486 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,097 Vol.
37%
29°C
$3,815 Vol.
37%
30°C
$2,555 Vol.
10%
31°C or higher
$379 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum in São Paulo around 27–29 °C on August 6, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, regional high pressure and modest subsidence warming are supporting daytime peaks several degrees above the 23–25 °C August climatological average. Key variables separating the top outcomes include the timing and extent of any passing cloud cover or light showers, urban heat-island amplification in the city center versus official airport observations, and slight differences among numerical weather prediction runs. With resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading from Brazil’s national network, traders are closely tracking the latest model consensus and real-time station data through the afternoon heating period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$20,314End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum in São Paulo around 27–29 °C on August 6, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, regional high pressure and modest subsidence warming are supporting daytime peaks several degrees above the 23–25 °C August climatological average. Key variables separating the top outcomes include the timing and extent of any passing cloud cover or light showers, urban heat-island amplification in the city center versus official airport observations, and slight differences among numerical weather prediction runs. With resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading from Brazil’s national network, traders are closely tracking the latest model consensus and real-time station data through the afternoon heating period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,314End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum in São Paulo around 27–29 °C on August 6, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, regional high pressure and modest subsidence warming are supporting daytime peaks several degrees above the 23–25 °C August climatological average. Key variables separating the top outcomes include the timing and extent of any passing cloud cover or light showers, urban heat-island amplification in the city center versus official airport observations, and slight differences among numerical weather prediction runs. With resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading from Brazil’s national network, traders are closely tracking the latest model consensus and real-time station data through the afternoon heating period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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