Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to typical August monsoon conditions with variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity driving the lowest temperature distribution. Trader emphasis on 27–29°C reflects expected overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, tempered by urban heat retention and potential thunderstorm outflows that could lower minima further or stabilize them near 28°C. Higher outcomes (30–31°C) would require sustained clear skies and stronger southerly flow suppressing nocturnal drops, while cooler results hinge on increased rainfall or a passing trough enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but day-to-day model updates on wind patterns and precipitation remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
28°C 35%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
35%
29°C
25%
30°C
14%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$5 Vol.
35%
29°C
$37 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$277 Vol.
4%
33°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to typical August monsoon conditions with variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity driving the lowest temperature distribution. Trader emphasis on 27–29°C reflects expected overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, tempered by urban heat retention and potential thunderstorm outflows that could lower minima further or stabilize them near 28°C. Higher outcomes (30–31°C) would require sustained clear skies and stronger southerly flow suppressing nocturnal drops, while cooler results hinge on increased rainfall or a passing trough enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but day-to-day model updates on wind patterns and precipitation remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$522End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to typical August monsoon conditions with variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity driving the lowest temperature distribution. Trader emphasis on 27–29°C reflects expected overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, tempered by urban heat retention and potential thunderstorm outflows that could lower minima further or stabilize them near 28°C. Higher outcomes (30–31°C) would require sustained clear skies and stronger southerly flow suppressing nocturnal drops, while cooler results hinge on increased rainfall or a passing trough enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but day-to-day model updates on wind patterns and precipitation remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$522End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to typical August monsoon conditions with variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity driving the lowest temperature distribution. Trader emphasis on 27–29°C reflects expected overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, tempered by urban heat retention and potential thunderstorm outflows that could lower minima further or stabilize them near 28°C. Higher outcomes (30–31°C) would require sustained clear skies and stronger southerly flow suppressing nocturnal drops, while cooler results hinge on increased rainfall or a passing trough enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks note normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, but day-to-day model updates on wind patterns and precipitation remain the key variables traders monitor ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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