Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Shenzhen's August 8 maximum will likely fall between 35–37°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity near 70–80% and variable monsoon influences, create sensitivity to cloud cover, sea breezes, and any early thunderstorms that could cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but recent days' 31–32°C readings reflect moderating factors like partial cloudiness; updated model runs will clarify whether clearer skies allow urban heat island effects to push readings toward 37°C or keep them nearer 35°C by resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
36°C 33%
37°C 27%
35°C 26%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
26%
36°C
33%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 33%
37°C 27%
35°C 26%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
$2 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$117 Vol.
2%
33°C
$24 Vol.
5%
34°C
$22 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$48 Vol.
33%
37°C
$68 Vol.
27%
38°C
$179 Vol.
5%
39°C
$10 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$875 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Shenzhen's August 8 maximum will likely fall between 35–37°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity near 70–80% and variable monsoon influences, create sensitivity to cloud cover, sea breezes, and any early thunderstorms that could cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but recent days' 31–32°C readings reflect moderating factors like partial cloudiness; updated model runs will clarify whether clearer skies allow urban heat island effects to push readings toward 37°C or keep them nearer 35°C by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,355End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Shenzhen's August 8 maximum will likely fall between 35–37°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity near 70–80% and variable monsoon influences, create sensitivity to cloud cover, sea breezes, and any early thunderstorms that could cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but recent days' 31–32°C readings reflect moderating factors like partial cloudiness; updated model runs will clarify whether clearer skies allow urban heat island effects to push readings toward 37°C or keep them nearer 35°C by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,355End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Shenzhen's August 8 maximum will likely fall between 35–37°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity near 70–80% and variable monsoon influences, create sensitivity to cloud cover, sea breezes, and any early thunderstorms that could cap daytime heating. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, but recent days' 31–32°C readings reflect moderating factors like partial cloudiness; updated model runs will clarify whether clearer skies allow urban heat island effects to push readings toward 37°C or keep them nearer 35°C by resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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