Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate coastal Southern California will experience moderating temperatures on August 9 amid a weakening heat pattern and strengthening marine layer influence. Sea breezes and stratus clouds are expected to cap daytime maxima near downtown Los Angeles and coastal basins around 76–79°F, aligning with climatological August averages of 84°F while suppressing inland heat advection. Official observations and ensemble runs show limited potential for 80°F+ readings absent stronger offshore flow, keeping the 78–79°F bin as the dominant market-implied outcome at 48%. Traders are closely monitoring the latest NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast updates and afternoon model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the narrow probability distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
78-79°F 48%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 48%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
$113 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$28 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$124 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$808 Vol.
48%
80-81°F
$98 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$191 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$28 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$133 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$111 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate coastal Southern California will experience moderating temperatures on August 9 amid a weakening heat pattern and strengthening marine layer influence. Sea breezes and stratus clouds are expected to cap daytime maxima near downtown Los Angeles and coastal basins around 76–79°F, aligning with climatological August averages of 84°F while suppressing inland heat advection. Official observations and ensemble runs show limited potential for 80°F+ readings absent stronger offshore flow, keeping the 78–79°F bin as the dominant market-implied outcome at 48%. Traders are closely monitoring the latest NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast updates and afternoon model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,138End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate coastal Southern California will experience moderating temperatures on August 9 amid a weakening heat pattern and strengthening marine layer influence. Sea breezes and stratus clouds are expected to cap daytime maxima near downtown Los Angeles and coastal basins around 76–79°F, aligning with climatological August averages of 84°F while suppressing inland heat advection. Official observations and ensemble runs show limited potential for 80°F+ readings absent stronger offshore flow, keeping the 78–79°F bin as the dominant market-implied outcome at 48%. Traders are closely monitoring the latest NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast updates and afternoon model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,138End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate coastal Southern California will experience moderating temperatures on August 9 amid a weakening heat pattern and strengthening marine layer influence. Sea breezes and stratus clouds are expected to cap daytime maxima near downtown Los Angeles and coastal basins around 76–79°F, aligning with climatological August averages of 84°F while suppressing inland heat advection. Official observations and ensemble runs show limited potential for 80°F+ readings absent stronger offshore flow, keeping the 78–79°F bin as the dominant market-implied outcome at 48%. Traders are closely monitoring the latest NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast updates and afternoon model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the narrow probability distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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