**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 9, 2026, centers on 32–34°C, with 33°C holding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus from meteorological models pointing to a daily maximum in that narrow band, moderated by expected isolated thunderstorms and associated cloud cover that limit intense solar heating. Chongqing’s subtropical basin location, surrounded by mountains, typically traps heat and humidity in August, producing average highs near 32–35°C. However, incoming moisture and convective activity can cap peaks below the 35–40°C extremes seen during July heatwaves. Recent model guidance emphasizes these stabilizing effects for the 9th, reducing the odds of 35°C or higher to just 5.5% while elevating 32°C to 21.5%. Broader seasonal context includes earlier 2026 heat alerts and record electricity demand from prolonged high temperatures, yet current steering patterns and precipitation signals support a cooler day relative to midsummer norms. Updated National Meteorological Center or local CMA guidance on cloud and rain evolution will be the key near-term driver of any probability shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 9?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 9?
33°C 39%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
39%
34°C
26%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$539 Vol.
2%
30°C
$227 Vol.
2%
31°C
$379 Vol.
8%
32°C
$2,457 Vol.
22%
33°C
$2,877 Vol.
39%
34°C
$1,443 Vol.
26%
35°C
$465 Vol.
6%
36°C
$603 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$268 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 9, 2026, centers on 32–34°C, with 33°C holding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus from meteorological models pointing to a daily maximum in that narrow band, moderated by expected isolated thunderstorms and associated cloud cover that limit intense solar heating.
Chongqing’s subtropical basin location, surrounded by mountains, typically traps heat and humidity in August, producing average highs near 32–35°C. However, incoming moisture and convective activity can cap peaks below the 35–40°C extremes seen during July heatwaves. Recent model guidance emphasizes these stabilizing effects for the 9th, reducing the odds of 35°C or higher to just 5.5% while elevating 32°C to 21.5%.
Broader seasonal context includes earlier 2026 heat alerts and record electricity demand from prolonged high temperatures, yet current steering patterns and precipitation signals support a cooler day relative to midsummer norms. Updated National Meteorological Center or local CMA guidance on cloud and rain evolution will be the key near-term driver of any probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,799End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 9, 2026, centers on 32–34°C, with 33°C holding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus from meteorological models pointing to a daily maximum in that narrow band, moderated by expected isolated thunderstorms and associated cloud cover that limit intense solar heating.
Chongqing’s subtropical basin location, surrounded by mountains, typically traps heat and humidity in August, producing average highs near 32–35°C. However, incoming moisture and convective activity can cap peaks below the 35–40°C extremes seen during July heatwaves. Recent model guidance emphasizes these stabilizing effects for the 9th, reducing the odds of 35°C or higher to just 5.5% while elevating 32°C to 21.5%.
Broader seasonal context includes earlier 2026 heat alerts and record electricity demand from prolonged high temperatures, yet current steering patterns and precipitation signals support a cooler day relative to midsummer norms. Updated National Meteorological Center or local CMA guidance on cloud and rain evolution will be the key near-term driver of any probability shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,799End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chongqing on August 9, 2026, centers on 32–34°C, with 33°C holding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus from meteorological models pointing to a daily maximum in that narrow band, moderated by expected isolated thunderstorms and associated cloud cover that limit intense solar heating. Chongqing’s subtropical basin location, surrounded by mountains, typically traps heat and humidity in August, producing average highs near 32–35°C. However, incoming moisture and convective activity can cap peaks below the 35–40°C extremes seen during July heatwaves. Recent model guidance emphasizes these stabilizing effects for the 9th, reducing the odds of 35°C or higher to just 5.5% while elevating 32°C to 21.5%. Broader seasonal context includes earlier 2026 heat alerts and record electricity demand from prolonged high temperatures, yet current steering patterns and precipitation signals support a cooler day relative to midsummer norms. Updated National Meteorological Center or local CMA guidance on cloud and rain evolution will be the key near-term driver of any probability shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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