Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models point to persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin, supporting peak temperatures near Chongqing’s early-August climatological average of 33–35 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. High humidity, limited ventilation from surrounding mountains, and urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover from monsoon moisture could cap the daily maximum near the lower end of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs for any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing that would push the verified high above 36 °C or below 34 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 10?
34°C 31%
35°C 31%
36°C 27%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
31%
35°C
31%
36°C
27%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
35°C 31%
36°C 27%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$73 Vol.
2%
32°C
$3 Vol.
6%
33°C
$14 Vol.
10%
34°C
$53 Vol.
31%
35°C
$71 Vol.
31%
36°C
$180 Vol.
27%
37°C
$210 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models point to persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin, supporting peak temperatures near Chongqing’s early-August climatological average of 33–35 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. High humidity, limited ventilation from surrounding mountains, and urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover from monsoon moisture could cap the daily maximum near the lower end of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs for any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing that would push the verified high above 36 °C or below 34 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$716End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models point to persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin, supporting peak temperatures near Chongqing’s early-August climatological average of 33–35 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. High humidity, limited ventilation from surrounding mountains, and urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover from monsoon moisture could cap the daily maximum near the lower end of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs for any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing that would push the verified high above 36 °C or below 34 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$716End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models point to persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin, supporting peak temperatures near Chongqing’s early-August climatological average of 33–35 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. High humidity, limited ventilation from surrounding mountains, and urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover from monsoon moisture could cap the daily maximum near the lower end of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs for any shift in steering flow or precipitation timing that would push the verified high above 36 °C or below 34 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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