Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on August 11 will likely peak near 23–25 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from upstream systems, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide baseline context, while current surface observations and upper-air patterns show no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals that would shift odds toward 21 °C or below or 26 °C and higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
$26 Vol.
3%
22°C
$4 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$45 Vol.
12%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$16 Vol.
3%
29°C
$27 Vol.
5%
30°C
$17 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$17 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on August 11 will likely peak near 23–25 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from upstream systems, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide baseline context, while current surface observations and upper-air patterns show no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals that would shift odds toward 21 °C or below or 26 °C and higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$156End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on August 11 will likely peak near 23–25 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from upstream systems, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide baseline context, while current surface observations and upper-air patterns show no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals that would shift odds toward 21 °C or below or 26 °C and higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$156End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on August 11 will likely peak near 23–25 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from upstream systems, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide baseline context, while current surface observations and upper-air patterns show no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals that would shift odds toward 21 °C or below or 26 °C and higher. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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