**Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High pressure system and clear skies continue to dominate the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for the August 9 daily maximum at the Incheon station.** Recent KMA observations and forecasts show Seoul-area highs peaking near 39°C mid-week amid the prolonged event, with multiple days above 35°C and tropical nights keeping overnight lows elevated. Model consensus points to modest cooling or stabilization by the weekend, favoring 33–35°C outcomes over extremes above 36°C or below 32°C, consistent with climatological late-summer patterns tempered by the current anomaly. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this short-term outlook, updated with the latest official guidance ahead of any final model runs or observational adjustments before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
34°C 37%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
27%
34°C
37%
35°C
19%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 37%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$96 Vol.
1%
31°C
$154 Vol.
4%
32°C
$20 Vol.
7%
33°C
$195 Vol.
27%
34°C
$634 Vol.
37%
35°C
$153 Vol.
19%
36°C
$194 Vol.
6%
37°C
$74 Vol.
2%
38°C
$246 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$385 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High pressure system and clear skies continue to dominate the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for the August 9 daily maximum at the Incheon station.** Recent KMA observations and forecasts show Seoul-area highs peaking near 39°C mid-week amid the prolonged event, with multiple days above 35°C and tropical nights keeping overnight lows elevated. Model consensus points to modest cooling or stabilization by the weekend, favoring 33–35°C outcomes over extremes above 36°C or below 32°C, consistent with climatological late-summer patterns tempered by the current anomaly. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this short-term outlook, updated with the latest official guidance ahead of any final model runs or observational adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,309End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High pressure system and clear skies continue to dominate the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for the August 9 daily maximum at the Incheon station.** Recent KMA observations and forecasts show Seoul-area highs peaking near 39°C mid-week amid the prolonged event, with multiple days above 35°C and tropical nights keeping overnight lows elevated. Model consensus points to modest cooling or stabilization by the weekend, favoring 33–35°C outcomes over extremes above 36°C or below 32°C, consistent with climatological late-summer patterns tempered by the current anomaly. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this short-term outlook, updated with the latest official guidance ahead of any final model runs or observational adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,309End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High pressure system and clear skies continue to dominate the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for the August 9 daily maximum at the Incheon station.** Recent KMA observations and forecasts show Seoul-area highs peaking near 39°C mid-week amid the prolonged event, with multiple days above 35°C and tropical nights keeping overnight lows elevated. Model consensus points to modest cooling or stabilization by the weekend, favoring 33–35°C outcomes over extremes above 36°C or below 32°C, consistent with climatological late-summer patterns tempered by the current anomaly. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this short-term outlook, updated with the latest official guidance ahead of any final model runs or observational adjustments before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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