Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 11, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow associated with a passing frontal boundary that limits daytime heating. This contrasts with clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month when highs reached 33–34°C. August climatology shows typical maxima near 29–31°C, but the current pattern favors modest suppression of peak temperatures through enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could tip the daily maximum between 28°C and 31°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability and the final observational reading from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 11?
30°C 35%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
32°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
30%
31°C
22%
32°C
17%
33°C
10%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
32°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12 Vol.
1%
27°C
$12 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$6 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$17 Vol.
17%
33°C
$8 Vol.
10%
34°C
$37 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 11, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow associated with a passing frontal boundary that limits daytime heating. This contrasts with clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month when highs reached 33–34°C. August climatology shows typical maxima near 29–31°C, but the current pattern favors modest suppression of peak temperatures through enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could tip the daily maximum between 28°C and 31°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability and the final observational reading from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$118End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 11, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow associated with a passing frontal boundary that limits daytime heating. This contrasts with clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month when highs reached 33–34°C. August climatology shows typical maxima near 29–31°C, but the current pattern favors modest suppression of peak temperatures through enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could tip the daily maximum between 28°C and 31°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability and the final observational reading from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$118End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 11, driven by increased cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow associated with a passing frontal boundary that limits daytime heating. This contrasts with clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month when highs reached 33–34°C. August climatology shows typical maxima near 29–31°C, but the current pattern favors modest suppression of peak temperatures through enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could tip the daily maximum between 28°C and 31°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability and the final observational reading from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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