Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate Shanghai will experience overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall on August 10, with daytime highs projected near 28°C and heat indices around 30°C amid high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 28°C, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed maximum temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. A cooling trend from recent days (highs near 34°C) stems from regional atmospheric patterns typical of East Asian summer monsoon influences, including potential steering from distant tropical systems. Model consensus emphasizes limited daytime heating, though forecast uncertainty from rain timing or intensity could shift outcomes slightly higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
$262 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$158 Vol.
1%
27°C
$464 Vol.
4%
28°C
$413 Vol.
22%
29°C
$313 Vol.
37%
30°C
$363 Vol.
24%
31°C
$632 Vol.
11%
32°C
$817 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$237 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate Shanghai will experience overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall on August 10, with daytime highs projected near 28°C and heat indices around 30°C amid high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 28°C, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed maximum temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. A cooling trend from recent days (highs near 34°C) stems from regional atmospheric patterns typical of East Asian summer monsoon influences, including potential steering from distant tropical systems. Model consensus emphasizes limited daytime heating, though forecast uncertainty from rain timing or intensity could shift outcomes slightly higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,864End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate Shanghai will experience overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall on August 10, with daytime highs projected near 28°C and heat indices around 30°C amid high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 28°C, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed maximum temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. A cooling trend from recent days (highs near 34°C) stems from regional atmospheric patterns typical of East Asian summer monsoon influences, including potential steering from distant tropical systems. Model consensus emphasizes limited daytime heating, though forecast uncertainty from rain timing or intensity could shift outcomes slightly higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,864End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate Shanghai will experience overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall on August 10, with daytime highs projected near 28°C and heat indices around 30°C amid high humidity. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 28°C, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed maximum temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. A cooling trend from recent days (highs near 34°C) stems from regional atmospheric patterns typical of East Asian summer monsoon influences, including potential steering from distant tropical systems. Model consensus emphasizes limited daytime heating, though forecast uncertainty from rain timing or intensity could shift outcomes slightly higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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