Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
29°C 48%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 4%
NEW
$12,268 Vol.
NEW
$12,268 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 4%
NEW
$12,268 Vol.
NEW
$12,268 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$599 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$348 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,782 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,362 Vol.
27%
29°C
$2,498 Vol.
48%
30°C
$1,665 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,247 Vol.
3%
32°C
$259 Vol.
1%
33°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$328 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$12,268End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,268End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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