Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate daily highs near 35–36°C for August 10 amid cloudy conditions and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with the long-term warming trend elevating baseline August maxima above the 32°C historical average. Key differentiators include urban heat retention, humidity levels near 80 percent that can suppress peak readings, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or isolated showers that might cap extremes at 34°C versus allowing brief spikes to 36°C. Model consensus remains fluid this close to the date, with traders weighting the latest observational data from official monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
34°C 35%
35°C 33%
36°C 13%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
35%
35°C
33%
36°C
13%
37°C
10%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 33%
36°C 13%
33°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$764 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$744 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,088 Vol.
35%
35°C
$851 Vol.
33%
36°C
$663 Vol.
13%
37°C
$1,537 Vol.
10%
38°C
$1,774 Vol.
5%
39°C or higher
$399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate daily highs near 35–36°C for August 10 amid cloudy conditions and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with the long-term warming trend elevating baseline August maxima above the 32°C historical average. Key differentiators include urban heat retention, humidity levels near 80 percent that can suppress peak readings, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or isolated showers that might cap extremes at 34°C versus allowing brief spikes to 36°C. Model consensus remains fluid this close to the date, with traders weighting the latest observational data from official monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,192End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate daily highs near 35–36°C for August 10 amid cloudy conditions and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with the long-term warming trend elevating baseline August maxima above the 32°C historical average. Key differentiators include urban heat retention, humidity levels near 80 percent that can suppress peak readings, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or isolated showers that might cap extremes at 34°C versus allowing brief spikes to 36°C. Model consensus remains fluid this close to the date, with traders weighting the latest observational data from official monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,192End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate daily highs near 35–36°C for August 10 amid cloudy conditions and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with the long-term warming trend elevating baseline August maxima above the 32°C historical average. Key differentiators include urban heat retention, humidity levels near 80 percent that can suppress peak readings, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or isolated showers that might cap extremes at 34°C versus allowing brief spikes to 36°C. Model consensus remains fluid this close to the date, with traders weighting the latest observational data from official monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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