Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 12, 2026, show daily maximum temperatures of 28–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible late showers, well above the 26°C threshold. This aligns with regional climatology, where August highs in Shandong average near 30–32°C and frequently exceed 35°C during peak summer heat influenced by subtropical high pressure and continental warming. Official agency guidance and ensemble models indicate no significant cold advection or persistent cloud cover capable of suppressing maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects this strong observational and modeling agreement, though an unexpected intensification of rainfall or a rare early frontal passage could theoretically lower readings by a few degrees without altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
26°C or higher 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$36,249 Vol.
$36,249 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$36,249 Vol.
$36,249 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 12, 2026, show daily maximum temperatures of 28–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible late showers, well above the 26°C threshold. This aligns with regional climatology, where August highs in Shandong average near 30–32°C and frequently exceed 35°C during peak summer heat influenced by subtropical high pressure and continental warming. Official agency guidance and ensemble models indicate no significant cold advection or persistent cloud cover capable of suppressing maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects this strong observational and modeling agreement, though an unexpected intensification of rainfall or a rare early frontal passage could theoretically lower readings by a few degrees without altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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