Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 13?
38°C 46%
37°C 30%
39°C 12%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
9%
37°C
30%
38°C
46%
39°C
12%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 46%
37°C 30%
39°C 12%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$93 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$364 Vol.
1%
35°C
$17 Vol.
4%
36°C
$142 Vol.
9%
37°C
$76 Vol.
30%
38°C
$337 Vol.
46%
39°C
$20 Vol.
12%
40°C
$10 Vol.
4%
41°C
$27 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$28 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,144End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,144End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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