Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently converge on a maximum of 31°C for Ankara on August 13 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs trend slightly downward from early-month peaks near 33°C. Market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 42.5% followed by 30°C and 32°C, capture traders’ assessment of remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer temperature and any last-minute model adjustments before the 48-hour window closes. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 24 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further tightening around the 30–32°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
43%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$348 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$96 Vol.
3%
29°C
$180 Vol.
9%
30°C
$211 Vol.
25%
31°C
$1,054 Vol.
43%
32°C
$245 Vol.
18%
33°C
$77 Vol.
3%
34°C
$28 Vol.
1%
35°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently converge on a maximum of 31°C for Ankara on August 13 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs trend slightly downward from early-month peaks near 33°C. Market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 42.5% followed by 30°C and 32°C, capture traders’ assessment of remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer temperature and any last-minute model adjustments before the 48-hour window closes. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 24 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further tightening around the 30–32°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,680End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently converge on a maximum of 31°C for Ankara on August 13 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs trend slightly downward from early-month peaks near 33°C. Market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 42.5% followed by 30°C and 32°C, capture traders’ assessment of remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer temperature and any last-minute model adjustments before the 48-hour window closes. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 24 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further tightening around the 30–32°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,680End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently converge on a maximum of 31°C for Ankara on August 13 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture. Recent runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs trend slightly downward from early-month peaks near 33°C. Market-implied odds, with 31°C leading at 42.5% followed by 30°C and 32°C, capture traders’ assessment of remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer temperature and any last-minute model adjustments before the 48-hour window closes. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations over the next 24 hours will be the primary catalysts for any further tightening around the 30–32°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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