Current forecast models for Beijing on August 11 project daytime highs of 30–33°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 32–34°C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering summer monsoon moisture support scattered showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while clearer intervals would allow greater solar heating and higher readings. Recent observations show early-August highs near 37°C giving way to seasonal moderation, with ensemble guidance indicating moderate uncertainty from variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
33°C 28%
34°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
19%
33°C
28%
34°C
20%
35°C
11%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 28%
34°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
$527 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$10 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$14 Vol.
28%
34°C
$162 Vol.
20%
35°C
$7 Vol.
11%
36°C
$32 Vol.
7%
37°C
$5 Vol.
2%
38°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Beijing on August 11 project daytime highs of 30–33°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 32–34°C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering summer monsoon moisture support scattered showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while clearer intervals would allow greater solar heating and higher readings. Recent observations show early-August highs near 37°C giving way to seasonal moderation, with ensemble guidance indicating moderate uncertainty from variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$798End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Beijing on August 11 project daytime highs of 30–33°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 32–34°C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering summer monsoon moisture support scattered showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while clearer intervals would allow greater solar heating and higher readings. Recent observations show early-August highs near 37°C giving way to seasonal moderation, with ensemble guidance indicating moderate uncertainty from variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$798End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Beijing on August 11 project daytime highs of 30–33°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 32–34°C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering summer monsoon moisture support scattered showers or thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover, while clearer intervals would allow greater solar heating and higher readings. Recent observations show early-August highs near 37°C giving way to seasonal moderation, with ensemble guidance indicating moderate uncertainty from variable steering flows and precipitation timing. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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