Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C due to ensemble model spreads in nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent regional humidity and light winds limit radiative heat loss, while Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat island can produce 1–2°C local differences in observed lows. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and any late cloud cover could shift the exact threshold. Updated KMA guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
23°C 50%
24°C 45%
25°C 13%
22°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
34%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
6%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 50%
24°C 45%
25°C 13%
22°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$23 Vol.
1%
19°C
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$180 Vol.
10%
23°C
$31 Vol.
34%
24°C
$23 Vol.
45%
25°C
$65 Vol.
13%
26°C
$67 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C due to ensemble model spreads in nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent regional humidity and light winds limit radiative heat loss, while Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat island can produce 1–2°C local differences in observed lows. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and any late cloud cover could shift the exact threshold. Updated KMA guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$409End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C due to ensemble model spreads in nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent regional humidity and light winds limit radiative heat loss, while Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat island can produce 1–2°C local differences in observed lows. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and any late cloud cover could shift the exact threshold. Updated KMA guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$409End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C due to ensemble model spreads in nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent regional humidity and light winds limit radiative heat loss, while Incheon’s coastal location and Seoul’s urban heat island can produce 1–2°C local differences in observed lows. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, but short-term steering patterns and any late cloud cover could shift the exact threshold. Updated KMA guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions