Forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15 amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where frequent afternoon thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover limit intense solar heating. High humidity above 75% and light steering winds from the western Pacific monsoon trough keep conditions stable yet variable, with the exact peak hinging on shower timing and any localized clearing. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with historical August variability where rain-cooled air masses often cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders price the close 32°C–33°C outcomes to reflect this narrow window of meteorological uncertainty ahead of the final observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
33°C 35%
32°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
32°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$819 Vol.
1%
28°C
$649 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$69 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3 Vol.
7%
31°C
$8 Vol.
14%
32°C
$70 Vol.
27%
33°C
$67 Vol.
35%
34°C
$6 Vol.
16%
35°C
$18 Vol.
6%
36°C
$330 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15 amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where frequent afternoon thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover limit intense solar heating. High humidity above 75% and light steering winds from the western Pacific monsoon trough keep conditions stable yet variable, with the exact peak hinging on shower timing and any localized clearing. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with historical August variability where rain-cooled air masses often cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders price the close 32°C–33°C outcomes to reflect this narrow window of meteorological uncertainty ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,060End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15 amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where frequent afternoon thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover limit intense solar heating. High humidity above 75% and light steering winds from the western Pacific monsoon trough keep conditions stable yet variable, with the exact peak hinging on shower timing and any localized clearing. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with historical August variability where rain-cooled air masses often cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders price the close 32°C–33°C outcomes to reflect this narrow window of meteorological uncertainty ahead of the final observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,060End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15 amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, where frequent afternoon thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover limit intense solar heating. High humidity above 75% and light steering winds from the western Pacific monsoon trough keep conditions stable yet variable, with the exact peak hinging on shower timing and any localized clearing. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with historical August variability where rain-cooled air masses often cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders price the close 32°C–33°C outcomes to reflect this narrow window of meteorological uncertainty ahead of the final observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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