Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 6%
NEW
$10,671 Vol.
NEW
$10,671 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
31%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 6%
NEW
$10,671 Vol.
NEW
$10,671 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$292 Vol.
4%
32°C
$531 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,455 Vol.
31%
34°C
$2,341 Vol.
43%
35°C
$611 Vol.
16%
36°C
$839 Vol.
5%
37°C
$1,186 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,671End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,671End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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