Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
26%
35°C
28%
36°C
19%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$13 Vol.
1%
31°C
$623 Vol.
9%
32°C
$717 Vol.
5%
33°C
$27 Vol.
14%
34°C
$36 Vol.
26%
35°C
$10 Vol.
28%
36°C
$86 Vol.
19%
37°C
$46 Vol.
12%
38°C
$72 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,657End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,657End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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