Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and showers have kept Wuhan's daily maxima near 28–30°C, but models now indicate gradual clearing ahead of August 16 that should boost solar insolation and allow a rebound toward the seasonal average. Official guidance from BBC Weather and the Met Office points to highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and only isolated late-day shower risk; slight differences in cloud timing or residual humidity between GFS and ECMWF runs explain the tight clustering around the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Wuhan's subtropical climate and urban heat-island effect amplify afternoon peaks when skies clear, while any lingering moisture or earlier convection could cap readings at 32°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
33°C 35%
34°C 30%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
24%
33°C
35%
34°C
30%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 35%
34°C 30%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$50 Vol.
35%
34°C
$0 Vol.
30%
35°C
$18 Vol.
9%
36°C
$8 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and showers have kept Wuhan's daily maxima near 28–30°C, but models now indicate gradual clearing ahead of August 16 that should boost solar insolation and allow a rebound toward the seasonal average. Official guidance from BBC Weather and the Met Office points to highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and only isolated late-day shower risk; slight differences in cloud timing or residual humidity between GFS and ECMWF runs explain the tight clustering around the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Wuhan's subtropical climate and urban heat-island effect amplify afternoon peaks when skies clear, while any lingering moisture or earlier convection could cap readings at 32°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$317End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and showers have kept Wuhan's daily maxima near 28–30°C, but models now indicate gradual clearing ahead of August 16 that should boost solar insolation and allow a rebound toward the seasonal average. Official guidance from BBC Weather and the Met Office points to highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and only isolated late-day shower risk; slight differences in cloud timing or residual humidity between GFS and ECMWF runs explain the tight clustering around the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Wuhan's subtropical climate and urban heat-island effect amplify afternoon peaks when skies clear, while any lingering moisture or earlier convection could cap readings at 32°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$317End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and showers have kept Wuhan's daily maxima near 28–30°C, but models now indicate gradual clearing ahead of August 16 that should boost solar insolation and allow a rebound toward the seasonal average. Official guidance from BBC Weather and the Met Office points to highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and only isolated late-day shower risk; slight differences in cloud timing or residual humidity between GFS and ECMWF runs explain the tight clustering around the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Wuhan's subtropical climate and urban heat-island effect amplify afternoon peaks when skies clear, while any lingering moisture or earlier convection could cap readings at 32°C. Updated model runs and short-range observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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