**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected showers on August 24 are keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Zhengzhou elevated around 25–27°C, giving the 25°C-or-higher outcome a narrow lead in trader consensus.** In Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during late August, radiative cooling at night is limited when skies remain overcast and moisture content is high. Multiple forecasts (including ECMWF-influenced and regional models) show lows near 25–26°C for the 24th, with daytime highs in the low 30s °C and 70–90% rain probability. These conditions trap heat and suppress the typical diurnal drop that would otherwise occur under clearer skies. Recent days have featured scattered showers and lingering moisture from a low-pressure trough, preventing the stronger cooling needed for sub-20°C readings. Historical August minima average near 25°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation from that baseline through the overnight period. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Zhengzhou meteorological station, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to refine odds before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
21°C 92%
22°C 88%
23°C 86%
15°C or below 59%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
59%
16°C
59%
17°C
34%
18°C
59%
19°C
<1%
20°C
59%
21°C
92%
22°C
88%
23°C
86%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
55%
21°C 92%
22°C 88%
23°C 86%
15°C or below 59%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$25 Vol.
59%
16°C
$25 Vol.
59%
17°C
$155 Vol.
34%
18°C
$25 Vol.
59%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
59%
21°C
$25 Vol.
92%
22°C
$25 Vol.
88%
23°C
$40 Vol.
86%
24°C
$16 Vol.
45%
25°C or higher
$113 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected showers on August 24 are keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Zhengzhou elevated around 25–27°C, giving the 25°C-or-higher outcome a narrow lead in trader consensus.**
In Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during late August, radiative cooling at night is limited when skies remain overcast and moisture content is high. Multiple forecasts (including ECMWF-influenced and regional models) show lows near 25–26°C for the 24th, with daytime highs in the low 30s °C and 70–90% rain probability. These conditions trap heat and suppress the typical diurnal drop that would otherwise occur under clearer skies. Recent days have featured scattered showers and lingering moisture from a low-pressure trough, preventing the stronger cooling needed for sub-20°C readings. Historical August minima average near 25°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation from that baseline through the overnight period. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Zhengzhou meteorological station, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to refine odds before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$535End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected showers on August 24 are keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Zhengzhou elevated around 25–27°C, giving the 25°C-or-higher outcome a narrow lead in trader consensus.**
In Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during late August, radiative cooling at night is limited when skies remain overcast and moisture content is high. Multiple forecasts (including ECMWF-influenced and regional models) show lows near 25–26°C for the 24th, with daytime highs in the low 30s °C and 70–90% rain probability. These conditions trap heat and suppress the typical diurnal drop that would otherwise occur under clearer skies. Recent days have featured scattered showers and lingering moisture from a low-pressure trough, preventing the stronger cooling needed for sub-20°C readings. Historical August minima average near 25°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation from that baseline through the overnight period. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Zhengzhou meteorological station, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to refine odds before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$535End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and expected showers on August 24 are keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Zhengzhou elevated around 25–27°C, giving the 25°C-or-higher outcome a narrow lead in trader consensus.** In Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate during late August, radiative cooling at night is limited when skies remain overcast and moisture content is high. Multiple forecasts (including ECMWF-influenced and regional models) show lows near 25–26°C for the 24th, with daytime highs in the low 30s °C and 70–90% rain probability. These conditions trap heat and suppress the typical diurnal drop that would otherwise occur under clearer skies. Recent days have featured scattered showers and lingering moisture from a low-pressure trough, preventing the stronger cooling needed for sub-20°C readings. Historical August minima average near 25°C, and current model consensus shows little deviation from that baseline through the overnight period. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the Zhengzhou meteorological station, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to refine odds before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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