Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 24, 2026, from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological updates indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with an overnight low around 25–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with the Sichuan Basin's late-August subtropical climate, where high humidity, residual moisture from scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s°C. Historical August lows average 23–24°C, but the current stable warm pattern with no significant cold advection has elevated trader consensus toward 25°C (44% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, while bins near 22°C or 27°C capture model variability and potential local urban influences. Updated model runs and the absence of major synoptic shifts in the past 48 hours reinforce this positioning ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 54%
30°C or higher 54%
27°C 34%
22°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
54%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
29%
25°C
45%
26°C
25%
27°C
34%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
54%
20°C or below 54%
30°C or higher 54%
27°C 34%
22°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$21 Vol.
54%
21°C
$50 Vol.
20%
22°C
$26 Vol.
32%
23°C
$6 Vol.
27%
24°C
$6 Vol.
29%
25°C
$943 Vol.
45%
26°C
$6 Vol.
25%
27°C
$6 Vol.
34%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$5 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$145 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 24, 2026, from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological updates indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with an overnight low around 25–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with the Sichuan Basin's late-August subtropical climate, where high humidity, residual moisture from scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s°C. Historical August lows average 23–24°C, but the current stable warm pattern with no significant cold advection has elevated trader consensus toward 25°C (44% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, while bins near 22°C or 27°C capture model variability and potential local urban influences. Updated model runs and the absence of major synoptic shifts in the past 48 hours reinforce this positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,219End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 24, 2026, from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological updates indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with an overnight low around 25–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with the Sichuan Basin's late-August subtropical climate, where high humidity, residual moisture from scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s°C. Historical August lows average 23–24°C, but the current stable warm pattern with no significant cold advection has elevated trader consensus toward 25°C (44% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, while bins near 22°C or 27°C capture model variability and potential local urban influences. Updated model runs and the absence of major synoptic shifts in the past 48 hours reinforce this positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,219End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 24, 2026, from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological updates indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with an overnight low around 25–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear conditions and light winds. This aligns with the Sichuan Basin's late-August subtropical climate, where high humidity, residual moisture from scattered showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s°C. Historical August lows average 23–24°C, but the current stable warm pattern with no significant cold advection has elevated trader consensus toward 25°C (44% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, while bins near 22°C or 27°C capture model variability and potential local urban influences. Updated model runs and the absence of major synoptic shifts in the past 48 hours reinforce this positioning ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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