Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and official agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, supported by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-85%, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for late August maintain elevated dew points, keeping overnight lows from dropping further despite scattered thunderstorms. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging 22-24°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 78% implied probability, with limited upside for cooler readings unless unexpected clear skies develop before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
25°C 94%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
24°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
30%
23°C
19%
24°C
21%
25°C
78%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
24°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$284 Vol.
1%
22°C
$112 Vol.
30%
23°C
$39 Vol.
19%
24°C
$62 Vol.
21%
25°C
$137 Vol.
78%
26°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and official agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, supported by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-85%, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for late August maintain elevated dew points, keeping overnight lows from dropping further despite scattered thunderstorms. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging 22-24°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 78% implied probability, with limited upside for cooler readings unless unexpected clear skies develop before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,533End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and official agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, supported by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-85%, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for late August maintain elevated dew points, keeping overnight lows from dropping further despite scattered thunderstorms. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging 22-24°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 78% implied probability, with limited upside for cooler readings unless unexpected clear skies develop before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,533End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and official agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, supported by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-85%, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for late August maintain elevated dew points, keeping overnight lows from dropping further despite scattered thunderstorms. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging 22-24°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted trader consensus toward the 25°C outcome at 78% implied probability, with limited upside for cooler readings unless unexpected clear skies develop before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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