Recent meteorological forecasts for Zhengzhou point to a daytime high near 32°C on August 24, driven by lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of Typhoon Dolphin that recently shifted Henan from drought to flooding conditions. Numerical weather prediction models show variable steering patterns and thunderstorm potential that could cap or briefly boost peaks, with official outlooks from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligning closely to this range amid typical late-summer humidity. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 31°C, incorporates uncertainty in model runs and the moderating effects of widespread rainfall observed in the past week, while historical August averages near 31°C provide climatological context.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 49%
31°C 30%
30°C 13%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
13%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
49%
32°C or higher 49%
31°C 30%
30°C 13%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
13%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Zhengzhou point to a daytime high near 32°C on August 24, driven by lingering moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of Typhoon Dolphin that recently shifted Henan from drought to flooding conditions. Numerical weather prediction models show variable steering patterns and thunderstorm potential that could cap or briefly boost peaks, with official outlooks from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligning closely to this range amid typical late-summer humidity. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 31°C, incorporates uncertainty in model runs and the moderating effects of widespread rainfall observed in the past week, while historical August averages near 31°C provide climatological context.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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