Recent model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological outlets points to a peak of 31°C on August 25 in Ankara under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and very low humidity. Clear skies and dry continental air advection from the northeast are limiting cloud cover and moisture, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this range, with negligible precipitation risk and stable subsidence supporting modest warming. Traders appear to weight the 31°C bin most heavily given the tight clustering of short-range forecasts, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed could shift the exact daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF are the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 53%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
27%
31°C
53%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$209 Vol.
1%
28°C
$207 Vol.
1%
29°C
$307 Vol.
3%
30°C
$747 Vol.
27%
31°C
$648 Vol.
53%
32°C
$282 Vol.
16%
33°C
$216 Vol.
3%
34°C
$137 Vol.
1%
35°C
$153 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$350 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological outlets points to a peak of 31°C on August 25 in Ankara under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and very low humidity. Clear skies and dry continental air advection from the northeast are limiting cloud cover and moisture, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this range, with negligible precipitation risk and stable subsidence supporting modest warming. Traders appear to weight the 31°C bin most heavily given the tight clustering of short-range forecasts, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed could shift the exact daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF are the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,308End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological outlets points to a peak of 31°C on August 25 in Ankara under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and very low humidity. Clear skies and dry continental air advection from the northeast are limiting cloud cover and moisture, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this range, with negligible precipitation risk and stable subsidence supporting modest warming. Traders appear to weight the 31°C bin most heavily given the tight clustering of short-range forecasts, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed could shift the exact daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF are the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,308End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Turkish meteorological outlets points to a peak of 31°C on August 25 in Ankara under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and very low humidity. Clear skies and dry continental air advection from the northeast are limiting cloud cover and moisture, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau where daytime maxima often reach 30–33°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this range, with negligible precipitation risk and stable subsidence supporting modest warming. Traders appear to weight the 31°C bin most heavily given the tight clustering of short-range forecasts, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed could shift the exact daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF are the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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