Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies and models, including those showing highs of 31–34°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, drive the strong market consensus around 32°C for Ankara on August 24. Late-summer conditions over central Anatolia typically feature high pressure and dry advection, yielding daily maxima near the 31–32°C climatological average, with limited model spread reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34°C or below 31°C. Updated guidance issued on August 23 reinforces this range without signals of significant warming or cooling from regional circulation patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
32°C 66%
33°C 21%
31°C 12%
30°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
66%
33°C
21%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 21%
31°C 12%
30°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$478 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,251 Vol.
12%
32°C
$1,686 Vol.
66%
33°C
$1,224 Vol.
21%
34°C
$454 Vol.
2%
35°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies and models, including those showing highs of 31–34°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, drive the strong market consensus around 32°C for Ankara on August 24. Late-summer conditions over central Anatolia typically feature high pressure and dry advection, yielding daily maxima near the 31–32°C climatological average, with limited model spread reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34°C or below 31°C. Updated guidance issued on August 23 reinforces this range without signals of significant warming or cooling from regional circulation patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,766End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies and models, including those showing highs of 31–34°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, drive the strong market consensus around 32°C for Ankara on August 24. Late-summer conditions over central Anatolia typically feature high pressure and dry advection, yielding daily maxima near the 31–32°C climatological average, with limited model spread reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34°C or below 31°C. Updated guidance issued on August 23 reinforces this range without signals of significant warming or cooling from regional circulation patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,766End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies and models, including those showing highs of 31–34°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, drive the strong market consensus around 32°C for Ankara on August 24. Late-summer conditions over central Anatolia typically feature high pressure and dry advection, yielding daily maxima near the 31–32°C climatological average, with limited model spread reducing the likelihood of outliers above 34°C or below 31°C. Updated guidance issued on August 23 reinforces this range without signals of significant warming or cooling from regional circulation patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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