Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
23%
19°C
16%
20°C
19%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
87%
25°C or higher 87%
15°C or below 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$30 Vol.
16%
20°C
$15 Vol.
19%
21°C
$145 Vol.
1%
22°C
$135 Vol.
1%
23°C
$300 Vol.
1%
24°C
$445 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,075End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,075End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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