Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most likely high for Houston on August 24, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a sunny day with a maximum near 100°F and heat indices to 106–107°F. Recent observations, including a 101°F reading on August 22, show the region running several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 93°F, sustained by southwesterly flow and limited moisture for daytime cloud development. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest overnight adjustments are possible before final NWS verification, keeping 100–101°F as a plausible secondary outcome while capping higher bins at low single-digit implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
98~99°F 61%
100~101°F 26%
96〜97°F 13%
102~103°F 4%
91°F以下
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96〜97°F
13%
98~99°F
61%
100~101°F
26%
102~103°F
4%
104〜105°F
1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108~109°F
<1%
110°F以上
<1%
98~99°F 61%
100~101°F 26%
96〜97°F 13%
102~103°F 4%
91°F以下
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96〜97°F
13%
98~99°F
61%
100~101°F
26%
102~103°F
4%
104〜105°F
1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108~109°F
<1%
110°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 98–99°F as the most likely high for Houston on August 24, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting a sunny day with a maximum near 100°F and heat indices to 106–107°F. Recent observations, including a 101°F reading on August 22, show the region running several degrees above the late-August climatological average of roughly 93°F, sustained by southwesterly flow and limited moisture for daytime cloud development. Ensemble guidance indicates only modest overnight adjustments are possible before final NWS verification, keeping 100–101°F as a plausible secondary outcome while capping higher bins at low single-digit implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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