Recent model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles points to a maximum of 27–28 °C in Paris on August 24 under easterly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air, with increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. After an earlier August heatwave that produced peaks above 35 °C, the current pattern features moderate humidity and a narrow diurnal range, aligning with the 26–28 °C outcomes that together exceed 80 % implied probability. Official forecasts show afternoon values reaching 26–28 °C before evening showers develop, while historical late-August averages near 24–25 °C underscore the mild anomaly. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のパリの最高気温は？
8月24日のパリの最高気温は？
27°C 46%
28°C 25%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
新規
$14,623 Vol.
新規
$14,623 Vol.
2026/08/24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
14%
27°C
46%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
28°C 25%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
新規
$14,623 Vol.
新規
$14,623 Vol.
2026/08/24
23°C or below
$569 Vol.
1%
24°C
$759 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,596 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,045 Vol.
14%
27°C
$3,307 Vol.
46%
28°C
$2,275 Vol.
25%
29°C
$1,723 Vol.
7%
30°C
$1,216 Vol.
2%
31°C
$622 Vol.
1%
32°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles points to a maximum of 27–28 °C in Paris on August 24 under easterly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air, with increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. After an earlier August heatwave that produced peaks above 35 °C, the current pattern features moderate humidity and a narrow diurnal range, aligning with the 26–28 °C outcomes that together exceed 80 % implied probability. Official forecasts show afternoon values reaching 26–28 °C before evening showers develop, while historical late-August averages near 24–25 °C underscore the mild anomaly. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
音量
$14,623終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles points to a maximum of 27–28 °C in Paris on August 24 under easterly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air, with increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. After an earlier August heatwave that produced peaks above 35 °C, the current pattern features moderate humidity and a narrow diurnal range, aligning with the 26–28 °C outcomes that together exceed 80 % implied probability. Official forecasts show afternoon values reaching 26–28 °C before evening showers develop, while historical late-August averages near 24–25 °C underscore the mild anomaly. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,623終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETRecent model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles points to a maximum of 27–28 °C in Paris on August 24 under easterly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air, with increasing cloud cover and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. After an earlier August heatwave that produced peaks above 35 °C, the current pattern features moderate humidity and a narrow diurnal range, aligning with the 26–28 °C outcomes that together exceed 80 % implied probability. Official forecasts show afternoon values reaching 26–28 °C before evening showers develop, while historical late-August averages near 24–25 °C underscore the mild anomaly. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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