Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 31–33°C at the official station, with scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels of 70–85% suppressing daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline while noting limited potential for brief spikes above 33°C if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger warm advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32–33°C outcomes because midday observations have hovered in the low 30s, with resolution depending on final hourly readings before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の北京の最高気温は?
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
37%
33°C
56%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
37%
33°C
56%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 31–33°C at the official station, with scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels of 70–85% suppressing daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline while noting limited potential for brief spikes above 33°C if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger warm advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32–33°C outcomes because midday observations have hovered in the low 30s, with resolution depending on final hourly readings before sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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