Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models converge on a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for August 23, 2026, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and a 40–60% chance of scattered showers that cap surface heating. High humidity near 65–70% will elevate heat indices, yet increased cloud cover and precipitation limit the stronger warming seen on prior days, aligning with late-August climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for 35°C reflects this model agreement and recent analogous days resolving near the same threshold. A clearer sky or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while heavier convection might cap the high at 34°C or below, though current guidance makes these shifts unlikely before official verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の武漢の最高気温は?
35°C 99.4%
36°C 1.1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$29,095 Vol.
$29,095 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.4%
36°C 1.1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$29,095 Vol.
$29,095 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models converge on a daytime maximum of 34–35°C for August 23, 2026, supported by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds, and a 40–60% chance of scattered showers that cap surface heating. High humidity near 65–70% will elevate heat indices, yet increased cloud cover and precipitation limit the stronger warming seen on prior days, aligning with late-August climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for 35°C reflects this model agreement and recent analogous days resolving near the same threshold. A clearer sky or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while heavier convection might cap the high at 34°C or below, though current guidance makes these shifts unlikely before official verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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