Current forecasts from major models indicate a typical late-summer maximum near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and light northerly to westerly winds with moderate humidity from Red Sea moisture. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 36–38 °C and recent observational trends showing stable hot, mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows low day-to-day variability, though minor shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date, as these directly inform implied probabilities around common temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のジェッダの最高気温は?
38℃ 31%
39℃ 28%
40℃以上 23%
37℃ 20%
30℃以下
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
1%
35℃
1%
36℃
13%
37℃
20%
38℃
31%
39℃
28%
40℃以上
23%
38℃ 31%
39℃ 28%
40℃以上 23%
37℃ 20%
30℃以下
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
1%
35℃
1%
36℃
13%
37℃
20%
38℃
31%
39℃
28%
40℃以上
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from major models indicate a typical late-summer maximum near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and light northerly to westerly winds with moderate humidity from Red Sea moisture. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 36–38 °C and recent observational trends showing stable hot, mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows low day-to-day variability, though minor shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date, as these directly inform implied probabilities around common temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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