Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a daily high in the mid-30s Celsius on August 25, aligning with the market's balanced pricing around 34–37°C outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, late-August maxima typically range 33–38°C under persistent high humidity and variable monsoon influences, with recent days confirming 34–36°C readings amid stable atmospheric patterns. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap peaks below 36°C versus clearer, subsiding conditions favoring 37°C, alongside model consensus from regional guidance showing limited day-to-day variability. No extreme heat alerts or frontal passages are indicated in the short term, leaving resolution sensitive to final observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の武漢の最高気温は?
37°C 31%
36°C 31%
34°C 16%
35°C 15%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
15%
36°C
31%
37°C
31%
38°C
16%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
6%
37°C 31%
36°C 31%
34°C 16%
35°C 15%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
15%
36°C
31%
37°C
31%
38°C
16%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a daily high in the mid-30s Celsius on August 25, aligning with the market's balanced pricing around 34–37°C outcomes. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, late-August maxima typically range 33–38°C under persistent high humidity and variable monsoon influences, with recent days confirming 34–36°C readings amid stable atmospheric patterns. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap peaks below 36°C versus clearer, subsiding conditions favoring 37°C, alongside model consensus from regional guidance showing limited day-to-day variability. No extreme heat alerts or frontal passages are indicated in the short term, leaving resolution sensitive to final observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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