Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai's August 23 maximum will reach 31°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly winds, and scattered showers that cap solar heating and keep conditions near the monthly climatological average. High humidity and dew points near 25–27°C further moderate extremes, aligning with the market's 91% implied probability for exactly 31°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on intensity, though any rapid clearing of cloud cover or shifts in steering flow could allow brief warming to 32°C. Official station data and updated guidance expected later today will confirm the peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の上海の最高気温は?
31°C 92%
32°C 6%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$46,771 Vol.
$46,771 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
92%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 92%
32°C 6%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$46,771 Vol.
$46,771 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
92%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai's August 23 maximum will reach 31°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly winds, and scattered showers that cap solar heating and keep conditions near the monthly climatological average. High humidity and dew points near 25–27°C further moderate extremes, aligning with the market's 91% implied probability for exactly 31°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on intensity, though any rapid clearing of cloud cover or shifts in steering flow could allow brief warming to 32°C. Official station data and updated guidance expected later today will confirm the peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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