Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の上海の最高気温は？
8月25日の上海の最高気温は？
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
43%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
6%
30°C
$191 Vol.
14%
31°C
$574 Vol.
43%
32°C
$657 Vol.
32%
33°C
$16 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,465終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,465終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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