Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions typical of late-summer monsoon flow. High humidity, moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea, and limited daytime heating from cloud cover are the main factors capping temperatures below recent monthly averages near 33°C. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong subsidence or clear-sky enhancement expected, while ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Traders have priced 31°C as the mode (57.5% implied probability) and 32°C close behind (34.5%), reflecting measured confidence in official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の上海の最高気温は？
8月24日の上海の最高気温は？
31°C 57%
32°C 35%
30°C 6%
33°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
57%
32°C
35%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 57%
32°C 35%
30°C 6%
33°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$605 Vol.
1%
30°C
$851 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,100 Vol.
57%
32°C
$2,232 Vol.
35%
33°C
$528 Vol.
4%
34°C
$916 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$582 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions typical of late-summer monsoon flow. High humidity, moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea, and limited daytime heating from cloud cover are the main factors capping temperatures below recent monthly averages near 33°C. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong subsidence or clear-sky enhancement expected, while ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Traders have priced 31°C as the mode (57.5% implied probability) and 32°C close behind (34.5%), reflecting measured confidence in official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$8,871終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions typical of late-summer monsoon flow. High humidity, moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea, and limited daytime heating from cloud cover are the main factors capping temperatures below recent monthly averages near 33°C. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong subsidence or clear-sky enhancement expected, while ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Traders have priced 31°C as the mode (57.5% implied probability) and 32°C close behind (34.5%), reflecting measured confidence in official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,871終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions typical of late-summer monsoon flow. High humidity, moderating sea breezes from the East China Sea, and limited daytime heating from cloud cover are the main factors capping temperatures below recent monthly averages near 33°C. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with no strong subsidence or clear-sky enhancement expected, while ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values. Traders have priced 31°C as the mode (57.5% implied probability) and 32°C close behind (34.5%), reflecting measured confidence in official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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