Recent Météo-France and GFS ensemble forecasts position the Paris maximum near 23–24°C on August 23 under a northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that reduce insolation while a cooling trend and possible showers limit afternoon heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where historical daily highs average 23–25°C, keeping 24°C the market leader at 52.5% implied probability and 25°C close behind at 40%. Model consensus on modest cloud cover and limited instability underpins trader sentiment, though small shifts in timing or convective development could still favor either outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のパリの最高気温は?
24°C 54%
25°C 40%
23°C 7%
26°C 2.8%
$34,640 Vol.
$34,640 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
54%
25°C
40%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 40%
23°C 7%
26°C 2.8%
$34,640 Vol.
$34,640 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
54%
25°C
40%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Météo-France and GFS ensemble forecasts position the Paris maximum near 23–24°C on August 23 under a northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that reduce insolation while a cooling trend and possible showers limit afternoon heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where historical daily highs average 23–25°C, keeping 24°C the market leader at 52.5% implied probability and 25°C close behind at 40%. Model consensus on modest cloud cover and limited instability underpins trader sentiment, though small shifts in timing or convective development could still favor either outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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