**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C. Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のパリの最低気温は？
8月23日のパリの最低気温は？
12°C 47%
13℃ 45%
14°C 8%
11°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
8°C以下
<1%
9℃
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
53%
13℃
45%
14°C
8%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
12°C 47%
13℃ 45%
14°C 8%
11°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
8°C以下
$119 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$140 Vol.
1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
1%
11°C
$304 Vol.
5%
12°C
$895 Vol.
53%
13℃
$713 Vol.
45%
14°C
$163 Vol.
8%
15°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$688 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
18℃以上
$262 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C.
Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$4,455終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C.
Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,455終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C. Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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