Latest forecast models from major agencies point to overnight lows of 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, consistent with the close market split favoring those bins. Easterly to northeasterly flow advects cooler maritime air while extensive cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minima near the 1991–2020 average of 13.9°C after a warmer mid-month period. Minor model differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts introduce the narrow uncertainty between 14°C and 15°C outcomes, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble spreads ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のパリの最低気温は?
14℃ 40%
15°C 31%
13℃ 17%
16°C 12%
11°C以下
4%
12°C
5%
13℃
17%
14℃
40%
15°C
31%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19℃
4%
20°C
2%
21°C以上
1%
14℃ 40%
15°C 31%
13℃ 17%
16°C 12%
11°C以下
4%
12°C
5%
13℃
17%
14℃
40%
15°C
31%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19℃
4%
20°C
2%
21°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from major agencies point to overnight lows of 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, consistent with the close market split favoring those bins. Easterly to northeasterly flow advects cooler maritime air while extensive cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minima near the 1991–2020 average of 13.9°C after a warmer mid-month period. Minor model differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts introduce the narrow uncertainty between 14°C and 15°C outcomes, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble spreads ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問