Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from an active monsoon trough or frontal boundary are limiting daytime heating across northern Taiwan, keeping forecast highs for Taipei on August 24 clustered around 28–31 °C according to Central Weather Administration guidance and global model runs. Easterly flow and elevated dew points near 25–26 °C further suppress maximum temperatures by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling during frequent rain. Recent model consensus shows only modest afternoon breaks possible, supporting the tight market spread where 29 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability. Updated forecasts tonight or early tomorrow could shift odds if convective timing or wind shifts alter peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の台北の最高気温は?
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 16%
32°C or higher 12%
$51,207 Vol.
$51,207 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
12%
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 16%
32°C or higher 12%
$51,207 Vol.
$51,207 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity from an active monsoon trough or frontal boundary are limiting daytime heating across northern Taiwan, keeping forecast highs for Taipei on August 24 clustered around 28–31 °C according to Central Weather Administration guidance and global model runs. Easterly flow and elevated dew points near 25–26 °C further suppress maximum temperatures by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling during frequent rain. Recent model consensus shows only modest afternoon breaks possible, supporting the tight market spread where 29 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability. Updated forecasts tonight or early tomorrow could shift odds if convective timing or wind shifts alter peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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