**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 82–83°F (46.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F (29.5%).** This consensus reflects typical late-August conditions, where the climatological average high is roughly 82°F, combined with today’s specific pattern of morning showers and thunderstorms transitioning to partly sunny skies. Cloud cover, scattered storms, and southeasterly winds shifting southwest (with gusts to 20 mph) are expected to limit peak heating, while dew points near 70°F add humidity that can further moderate surface temperatures. Recent model runs and early-morning observations show no strong heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings into the mid-80s or higher, keeping 84–85°F (14%) a distant third. Historical analogs and the absence of a heat dome reinforce the narrow range around the low 80s as the most probable resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月23日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 4%
新規
$32,178 Vol.
新規
$32,178 Vol.
2026/08/23
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 4%
新規
$32,178 Vol.
新規
$32,178 Vol.
2026/08/23
73°F or below
$753 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,624 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,718 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$3,777 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$4,655 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$8,206 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$3,752 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$3,198 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$661 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$195 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 82–83°F (46.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F (29.5%).**
This consensus reflects typical late-August conditions, where the climatological average high is roughly 82°F, combined with today’s specific pattern of morning showers and thunderstorms transitioning to partly sunny skies. Cloud cover, scattered storms, and southeasterly winds shifting southwest (with gusts to 20 mph) are expected to limit peak heating, while dew points near 70°F add humidity that can further moderate surface temperatures.
Recent model runs and early-morning observations show no strong heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings into the mid-80s or higher, keeping 84–85°F (14%) a distant third. Historical analogs and the absence of a heat dome reinforce the narrow range around the low 80s as the most probable resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$32,178終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 82–83°F (46.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F (29.5%).**
This consensus reflects typical late-August conditions, where the climatological average high is roughly 82°F, combined with today’s specific pattern of morning showers and thunderstorms transitioning to partly sunny skies. Cloud cover, scattered storms, and southeasterly winds shifting southwest (with gusts to 20 mph) are expected to limit peak heating, while dew points near 70°F add humidity that can further moderate surface temperatures.
Recent model runs and early-morning observations show no strong heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings into the mid-80s or higher, keeping 84–85°F (14%) a distant third. Historical analogs and the absence of a heat dome reinforce the narrow range around the low 80s as the most probable resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$32,178終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes around 82–83°F (46.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F (29.5%).** This consensus reflects typical late-August conditions, where the climatological average high is roughly 82°F, combined with today’s specific pattern of morning showers and thunderstorms transitioning to partly sunny skies. Cloud cover, scattered storms, and southeasterly winds shifting southwest (with gusts to 20 mph) are expected to limit peak heating, while dew points near 70°F add humidity that can further moderate surface temperatures. Recent model runs and early-morning observations show no strong heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings into the mid-80s or higher, keeping 84–85°F (14%) a distant third. Historical analogs and the absence of a heat dome reinforce the narrow range around the low 80s as the most probable resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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