Recent forecasts from global models like GFS indicate Madrid's high on August 25 will likely peak near 26–28°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, limiting solar heating compared with typical August conditions near 31°C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and increased cloud cover have suppressed temperatures in recent days, creating tight clustering around these values while rendering 34°C+ or sub-25°C outcomes improbable. Model consensus on exact afternoon maxima remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing and wind strength, sustaining balanced trader positions across the 26–33°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマドリードの最高気温は?
28°C 43%
29°C 34%
27°C 15%
30°C 8%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
43%
29°C
34%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 43%
29°C 34%
27°C 15%
30°C 8%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
43%
29°C
34%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models like GFS indicate Madrid's high on August 25 will likely peak near 26–28°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, limiting solar heating compared with typical August conditions near 31°C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and increased cloud cover have suppressed temperatures in recent days, creating tight clustering around these values while rendering 34°C+ or sub-25°C outcomes improbable. Model consensus on exact afternoon maxima remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing and wind strength, sustaining balanced trader positions across the 26–33°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問