Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のマドリードの最低気温は?
25°C or higher 85%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
15°C or below 42%
15°C or below
42%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
85%
25°C or higher 85%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
15°C or below 42%
15°C or below
42%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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