Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のマドリードの最低気温は？
8月24日のマドリードの最低気温は？
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 10%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C or below
45%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27℃
1%
28°C以上
1%
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 10%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
9%
22°C
$23 Vol.
8%
23°C
$25 Vol.
3%
24°C
$135 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
3%
27℃
$70 Vol.
1%
28°C以上
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
音量
$398終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$398終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 24 will likely fall to 17–19°C, driven by a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased mid-level cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 30°C and aligns with the historical average minimum of 18.7°C for the date. Numerical weather prediction consensus favors the 18°C-or-below bin as the mode outcome, with model spread and timing of any precipitation introducing the main uncertainty for traders. Updated AEMET guidance and morning observations on the 24th will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問