Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33 °C for Madrid on 23 August 2026 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, following a cooler period after earlier August peaks near 38 °C. These conditions position 33 °C and 34 °C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on modest daytime heating without strong high-pressure amplification or significant cloud cover to suppress readings. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum, any late-day model update or slight shift in wind or insolation could nudge probabilities between the two leading contracts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のマドリードの最高気温は?
34°C 60%
33°C 36%
32°C 4%
35°C 3%
$19,749 Vol.
$19,749 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
36%
34°C
60%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 60%
33°C 36%
32°C 4%
35°C 3%
$19,749 Vol.
$19,749 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
36%
34°C
60%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33 °C for Madrid on 23 August 2026 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, following a cooler period after earlier August peaks near 38 °C. These conditions position 33 °C and 34 °C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on modest daytime heating without strong high-pressure amplification or significant cloud cover to suppress readings. With resolution tied to the official daily maximum, any late-day model update or slight shift in wind or insolation could nudge probabilities between the two leading contracts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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