Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月24日のマドリードの最高気温は？
28°C 36%
27°C 35%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
新規
$15,059 Vol.
新規
$15,059 Vol.
2026/08/24
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
35%
28°C
36%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
28°C 36%
27°C 35%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
新規
$15,059 Vol.
新規
$15,059 Vol.
2026/08/24
23°C or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$365 Vol.
1%
25°C
$617 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,057 Vol.
15%
27°C
$1,571 Vol.
35%
28°C
$4,911 Vol.
36%
29°C
$3,483 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,034 Vol.
4%
31°C
$111 Vol.
1%
32°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
33°C以上
$436 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
音量
$15,059終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,059終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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