Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Met Office and KNMI-aligned sources indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 24°C. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, combined with a post-heatwave pattern after earlier August peaks exceeding 30°C, supports this consensus by limiting daytime warming. Variable cloud cover and light easterly flow further cap extremes, while seasonal solar decline post-solstice reduces baseline heating. Ensemble spreads show low odds for 26°C or higher due to limited subsidence or warm advection expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月25日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
24℃ 40%
25℃ 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
20℃以下
2%
21℃
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24℃
40%
25℃
22%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28℃
4%
29°C
2%
30℃以上
2%
24℃ 40%
25℃ 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
20℃以下
$5 Vol.
2%
21℃
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$58 Vol.
8%
23°C
$15 Vol.
22%
24℃
$0 Vol.
40%
25℃
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$158 Vol.
7%
27°C
$20 Vol.
7%
28℃
$20 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30℃以上
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Met Office and KNMI-aligned sources indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 24°C. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, combined with a post-heatwave pattern after earlier August peaks exceeding 30°C, supports this consensus by limiting daytime warming. Variable cloud cover and light easterly flow further cap extremes, while seasonal solar decline post-solstice reduces baseline heating. Ensemble spreads show low odds for 26°C or higher due to limited subsidence or warm advection expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$286終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Met Office and KNMI-aligned sources indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 24°C. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, combined with a post-heatwave pattern after earlier August peaks exceeding 30°C, supports this consensus by limiting daytime warming. Variable cloud cover and light easterly flow further cap extremes, while seasonal solar decline post-solstice reduces baseline heating. Ensemble spreads show low odds for 26°C or higher due to limited subsidence or warm advection expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$286終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including those referenced by the Met Office and KNMI-aligned sources indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 24°C. Coastal moderation from the North Sea, combined with a post-heatwave pattern after earlier August peaks exceeding 30°C, supports this consensus by limiting daytime warming. Variable cloud cover and light easterly flow further cap extremes, while seasonal solar decline post-solstice reduces baseline heating. Ensemble spreads show low odds for 26°C or higher due to limited subsidence or warm advection expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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