Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate an overnight low near 11–14°C for Amsterdam on August 24, driven by moderate easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and lingering maritime air moderating radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 10–12°C because clear-sky intervals overnight could enhance surface heat loss and drop readings toward 9–10°C, while increased cloud cover or stronger winds would limit cooling and favor 12°C or higher. Late-August climatology shows typical minima near 13–14°C, but the short-term model spread creates genuine uncertainty resolved only by final observational data at midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
13℃ 19%
12°C 13%
6℃以下
2%
7°C
5%
8℃
8%
9°C
12%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
13%
13℃
19%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16℃以上
2%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
13℃ 19%
12°C 13%
6℃以下
2%
7°C
5%
8℃
8%
9°C
12%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
13%
13℃
19%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate an overnight low near 11–14°C for Amsterdam on August 24, driven by moderate easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and lingering maritime air moderating radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 10–12°C because clear-sky intervals overnight could enhance surface heat loss and drop readings toward 9–10°C, while increased cloud cover or stronger winds would limit cooling and favor 12°C or higher. Late-August climatology shows typical minima near 13–14°C, but the short-term model spread creates genuine uncertainty resolved only by final observational data at midnight local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問