Recent forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 25 likely settling near 12–13°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 14°C, with recent hot spells earlier in the month giving way to cooler, showery conditions that have pulled overnight readings down. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (44.5%) and 13°C (43.5%) because small differences in forecast timing of any Atlantic front or wind shift can shift the low by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the limited chance of stronger cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from national meteorological services expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
19°C以上 68%
13°C 45%
12°C 43%
11°C 36%
9°C or below
35%
10°C
8%
11°C
36%
12°C
43%
13°C
45%
14°C
28%
15°C
34%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C以上
68%
19°C以上 68%
13°C 45%
12°C 43%
11°C 36%
9°C or below
35%
10°C
8%
11°C
36%
12°C
43%
13°C
45%
14°C
28%
15°C
34%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C以上
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 25 likely settling near 12–13°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 14°C, with recent hot spells earlier in the month giving way to cooler, showery conditions that have pulled overnight readings down. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (44.5%) and 13°C (43.5%) because small differences in forecast timing of any Atlantic front or wind shift can shift the low by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the limited chance of stronger cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from national meteorological services expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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